Five Risks to Watch in 2019: Q2 Update
I warned in a 2019 year-ahead look at risks that uncertainty would rule. Let me double down on that bet.
Samuel Brannen
is a senior fellow in the International Security Program and director of the Risk and Foresight Group at CSIS. He previously served as director of A.T. Kearney’s Global Business Policy Council, where he advised CEOs on the business implications of global macro-trends, and was also a senior fellow at CSIS prior to that position.
How to Predict the 2020 Presidential Winner
The winning candidate in 2020 will reveal himself or herself to us over the next 21 months through a basket of qualitative indicators focused on how effective each candidate is in individually appealing to likely voters in a fundamentally changed social environment.
Selling policy to the cord-cutting generation
The average American wants choice and personalization, not a bundled, take-it-or-leave-it offering. That has left the market wide open for new entrants willing to break with past business models and orthodoxies, from Netflix to Donald Trump.
Bad Idea: Expecting the Private Sector to Drive Innovation in National Security
It’s bipartisan Washington gospel that America’s private sector will deliver the innovation the country needs. However, at the front-end of an era of rapid, disruptive technological change in which global competition is heating up, such expectation is increasingly a bad idea without a far more strategic, centralized, and White House-driven approach to the challenges ahead.